BECOME A GNN MEMBER: Access a winning PGA Tour model, unique tools and in-depth analysis for just $50/year before the price doubles on March 1! Gambling Problem? Harold Varner III (particularly for first-round leader bets). Gdula: Cameron Davis (-110) over Sepp Straka (FOXBet) Davis holds a massive tee-to-green advantage over Straka, who goes as his putter goes. But victories arent always the only barometer of success. Mayo: Adrian Meronk (+105) over Cameron Davis (Bet365) Meronk is legit, just unknown. Hes cashed this bet in 6.25 percent of his starts since January 2019and while that is a small percentage of the time, you'll reap the benefits (usually with odds of 50-1 or greater) when it happens again. Hes been in the green on approach in five of the last six, and that pesky putter has shown brief glimpses of brilliance at the Sony Open and the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am. Last season, he nailed the Tour Championship, saying Rory McIlroy was the only player capable of making up a six-stroke deficit to get past Scheffler. May as well take another ride on the Kirk train, which will undoubtedly end like it always doeswith him ball-striking his way into contention and then failing to make anything inside of 10 feet on Sunday when he needs to. Would one of the big three be the best golfer to anchor your 2023 Genesis Invitational fantasy golf picks? Houston Open: Jason Day. Caddie: Davis Riley (80-1, BetMGM) With so many options in terms of longshots, this is a shot in the dark. For the The American Express 2023, Holliman is backing a massive sleeper for Fantasy rosters who is priced at $7,000 at DraftKings and has triple-digit odds to win at Caesars. He just cant find ways to make putts. 2022 3M Open Fantasy golf expert picks Im has been in a rut for a few weeks, but Gates isn't hesitating to back the South Korean this week. Sign up for DraftKings and experience the game inside the game. He's gaining a staggering 3.25 strokes per round over his. (Subscribe for video or audio).Mayo (@ThePME) won the 2021 Fantasy Sports Writing Association Daily Fantasy Writer of the Year and was a finalist for three FSWA Awards in 2023 (Best Podcast, Daily Fantasy Writer of the Year, Golf Writer of the Year). Its wild to think about this, but if you put Henleys statistical profile next to Justin Thomas, they look very similar, aside from JTs elite off-the-tee game. PGA Tour one-and-done is a popular fantasy golf game, with private one-and-done leagues and public PGA Tour games. Hes reeled off four straight Top 25 finishes in this event and is one of the only players in the world who seems to have the ability to be the best or worst player in any field with his irons round-to-round. Routinely, they will point us to players who are undervaluedbased on their betting odds and fantasy salary prices. Visit SportsLine now to see the complete PGA DFS player pool for FanDuel and DraftKings, all from the expert who's made over $2 million in daily Fantasy sports, and find out. RELATED: 15 signs you watch too much golf on TV. The 30-year-old. From Brandon Gdula, FanDuel/numberFire managing editor: This ones not that bold, but Wolff is one of just six golfers over the final 100 rounds on the PGA Tour last season who ranked in the 75th percentile or better in strokes gained/off the tee, approach and putting, plus driving distance and birdie-or-better rate, according to data from FantasyNational.com. And last week, bargain pick Matt Kuchar ($7,900) posted a top-10 finish and two more picks were in the top 15. Both stats combine to form the cumulative strokes gained/ball-striking, putting Conners third on tour. Last year, Hoge became the outlier opening 65/1 in the betting market. All Rights Reserved. GOLF DIGEST MAY EARN A PORTION OF SALES FROM PRODUCTS THAT ARE PURCHASED THROUGH OUR SITE AS PART OF OUR AFFILIATE PARTNERSHIPS WITH RETAILERS. It turned out to be at Sedgefield, where the 20-year-old won by five strokes. Hes third in SG/off the tee numbers in this field over the past 36 rounds (per RickRunGood.com), and though hes been struggling in his first few events of 2023, Im banking on a Keith Mitchell 2019 type of a week, where Mitchells results were bad coming in, but he caught fire here. Its tough trusting Merritt on a weekly basis since he tends to lose one facet of his game every start. Adding to the challenge is that every golfer can be used only three times per each of four Segments. He's been able to consistently find himself in the mix thanks to his impeccable accuracy. While Scheffler was routinely priced up in the betting markets against weaker fields, the 24-year-old actually did his best work among the elites. Each lineup consists of four starters and two bench players that can be rotated. 3. You can see who else to back this week at SportsLine. He hasn't finished higher than 13th in the past four years at Riviera. Ben is an up-and-coming rookie who has played great this year including getting into contention a couple times. This golfer "finally showed some spark" last week in Scottsdale and appears to be trending upward. His recent performance backs that up, as he has four victories and seven top-five finishes in his past nine worldwide events. Hell likely do well at Bay Hill, at the Players and at Harbour Town, but all of those will have stacked fields as elevated events and Im not so sure Kirk can beat a field like that. Thats some great early-season value on a top-tier all-around golfer whose performance is grounded in elite data. Anonymous Caddie Picker of the week: Adam Svensson (33-1, BetMGM) This week feels like it could be anyone's game in terms of holding the trophy on Sunday. Honda Classic picks 2023: Is it time for another breakthrough for Aaron Wise? Sentry TOC: Patrick Cantlay. McClure's model included J.T. Fantasy Golf Picks 2023 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Picks, Predictions, Rankings and Sleepers, Full schedule, bracket for 2023 WAC Conference Tournament, Full tee times for Round 3 of Arnold Palmer Invitational, Fantasy Basketball Picks: Top DraftKings NBA DFS Targets, Values for March 4, 2023 NFL Combine: Tracking Zay Flowers measurements, drill times, more, Donovan Mitchell, Trae Young, Khris Middleton headline NBA injury report for Saturday, March 4, John Battaglia Memorial Stakes 2023: Post time, live stream, TV channel, horses, odds for Kentucky Derby prep race, Highlight: Hoge was the Round 1 leader after shooting 63, Highlight: Berger moved the wrong way on moving day with a 72, but was seven shots better on Sunday, The Top-11 finishers all gained Driving Distance on the field, The Top-13 finishers all gained with the putter, Highlight: Taylor was the Round 1 leader (by three strokes) after shooting a 63, The Top-10 finishers all gained with the putter (Taylor was the second best putter for the week), Highlight: Mickelson bookended the tournament with 65s and led the field in approach, The top-9 finishers all gained in Good Drives (only four gained in distance), Highlight: Potter fired a 62 on Saturday (best round of the weekend, no one else had a round better than 64), Highlight: Spieth was inside the Top 5 in Good Drives and GIRs for the week, 3 of the Top 9 finishers gained over 50 strokes of distance BUT lost fairways to the field, Highlight: Progressively got better 70-68-67-65, Taylor won despite losing almost a stroke with the putter (the other Top 15 finishers all gained with the flat stick Taylor picked up 10.2 strokes T2G, 2.8 better than anyone else), 6 players scored 105+ DK points Hoge was the only mid-tier option (3 were $7,500 or less and the other 3 were over $9,000 including the two highest priced players), 3 of the Top 4 scorers cost at least $9,700, 4 of the 5 highest priced golfers finished outside the Top 15 in DK scoring, More stars and scrubs each of the Top 6 scorers was priced under $7,500 or over $9,000, Here are the DK price rankings of the Top 3 scorers for the week. From Mayo: Can Bubba fix his broken putter? He also top-10d here a year ago, so he is no stranger to this course. The Korn Ferry trademark is also a registered trademark, and is used in the Korn Ferry Tour logo with permission. A lack of red flags in any area has helped get him six top-20 finishes since August. He missed the cut at the Honda Classic last year but finished T-8 in 2021 and won in 2020. 10. Theres analysis you wont find anywhere else. He has not had a top-10 in 20 events, so this is clearly the "new caddie, new spark" feeling I got here. Watson lost strokes putting in 11 of his final 14 events. Abraham Ancer played in the final group of the Masters in November, but he's still looking for his first PGA Tour victory. In my opinion, Wise is a top-five player in this field, behind only Sungjae Im, Shane Lowry and Billy Horschel, and we are catching him at a more than fair price due to his slow start to the season. The tournament tees off Thursday across three courses in La Quinta, Calif., and the average winning score over the past 10 years is 24-under par. WMPO: Sungjae Im. THE MATERIAL ON THIS SITE MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED, DISTRIBUTED, TRANSMITTED, CACHED OR OTHERWISE USED, EXCEPT WITH THE PRIOR WRITTEN PERMISSION OF DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. 2023 DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED, Why an early morning par from a club pro to make the cut at Bay Hill made seven other tour pros very, very happy, Players 2023: The Bomb and Gouge era is over. Each week hosts Christopher Powers, Alex Myers, and Steve Hennessey, along with special guests from across the sports and entertainment worlds, will touch on what's going in the game . 2022 Rocket Mortgage Classic Fantasy golf expert picks One player Gates isn't hesitating to back this week is Cantlay, who doesn't bring great value but will help you win. "He has a lot of ground to make up," Holliman said, "but he is the most well-rounded player in this field, so if anyone can do it, he can." You can play our free fantasy game and see how you measure up against our experts below. American Express: Brian Harman. NeSmith has 98 rounds on the PGA Tour, via FantasyNational, and in those, hes gained strokes tee to green in 50.7 percent of them, as well 62.7 percent of his rounds from approach play, the most important stat of them all. Since 2000, the leader or co-leader after 54 holes has gone on to win 13 times, including eight of the past ten years. Here are the stats you should be paying attention to. Please play responsibly. Hes among only 10 players to rank in the 75th percentile or better in all three tee-to-green stats over his past 100 rounds and at least the 50th percentile in putting. 7. Lack: JT Poston (-110) over Adam Svensson (DraftKings) Svensson is coming off a ninth-place finish at the Genesis and JT Poston is coming off a MC on the number, but results can be deceiving. While I am dubious on the 35-year-olds chances to raise the trophy, I expect him to find his way into contention this week in Palm Beach Gardens. Christopher Powers, Golf Digest staff writer: Chris Kirk (30-1, DraftKings) Is this a number we want to bet Chris Kirk at, or think he can realistically win at? There is no value in picking a guy who hasn't played a PGA Tour event since last summer and missed the cut. Pat Mayo is an award-winning video host and producer of long and short-form content, and the host of The Pat Mayo Experience daily talk show. While his irons let him down at the South Course during the Farmers, his putter certainly did not, and Pebble is a totally different layout for approaches. Pat Mayo is an award-winning video host and producer of long and short-form content, and the host of The Pat Mayo Experience daily talk show. And which overlooked players can help you win your league this week? Latest golf news from PGA TOUR, PGA TOUR Champions, KornFerry TOUR . He hosts Inside Golf, a twice weekly podcast focused on the PGA Tour, betting, daily fantasy, golf course architecture, and interviews, as part of the BlueWire podcast network. Sungjae Im: His ballstriking should carry him a long way this week, but the South Korean has also been on a strong run of late. Ryan occasionally links to merchants of his choosing, and GNN may earn a commission from sales generated by those links. Schauffele (19-1), Zalatoris (19-1) and Tom Kim (20-1) are among the other notable contenders in The American Express 2023 field. Its quite strange, too, considering hed gained in seven of eight starts previous to the awful run. Our job is to pick the guys who wont be made to look like fools at PGA National's Champion course this week. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information. But that was on different grass. Sony Open: Hideki Matsuyama. This is the first tournament of the year with a full complement of Poa Annua greens. Whether you're betting on golf, playing in a fantasy golf leagues or competing in a DFS (DraftKings, FanDuel) event, our picks highlight the top players to watch this week. In order to score well at Waialae Country Club, players will need to be accurate off the tee and few do it better than Im. Void in ONT. Pat Mayo breaks down the 2023 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am, making his picks and rankings for the event while previewing the course and key stats. The PGA TOUR Experts league is once again open to the public. The Rocket Mortgage Classic Genesis: Justin Thomas. The 2023 The Honda Classic is here, and we're back with our PGA Tour expert picks and betting tips for the PGA Tour event at PGA Natonal's Champion Course in Palm Beach Gardens, Fla. Every week, we share our PGA Tour player rankings, and they are agnostic of competition. 5. From Rick Gehman, data scientist and RickRunGood.com founder: In DFS formats, making money is all about finding value. Thats the amount of fantasy points returned per dollar spent. How it works: Each week, our experts from PGATOUR.COM will make their selections in PGA TOUR Fantasy Golf. Aside from the experts below, Fantasy Insider Rob Bolton breaks down the field at this year's The American Express in this week's edition of the Power Rankings. Each lineup consists of four starters and two bench players that can be rotated. He is a scratch golfersometimes. Now, were finally catching fire again, with Gdula cashing another winner at the WM Phoenix Open (Scottie Scheffler, 13-1) and Rick Gehman correctly predicting Jon Rahms Genesis Invitational victory at +750. All three courses are incredibly short and limit the advantage of driving distance. Gdula: Jhonattan Vegas (+320, FanDuel) Overall, Vegas has played well at PGA National, and were seeing phenomenal ball-striking from him lately. Pat Mayo, DraftKings/Fantasy National,Mayo Media Network analyst: Jhonattan Vegas (35-1, DraftKings) So far in 2023, Vegas has top-25 finishes at Farmers and Phoenix and made the cut at Riviera. Who should you back with your Fantasy golf picks? The golf expert has been on a roll on his picks since last season. Over the past two years, Varner trails only Brooks Koepka, Justin Thomas and Rory McIlroy in the number of times his name has been on top of the leader board after 18 holes. Pebble Beach can switch from easy to frustratingly difficult with a wind shift. He makes cuts, in spades. See more in GNN's affiliate disclosure. He's been hanging around 30th place in his last four starts. For the Genesis Invitational 2023, Holliman is backing several longshots, including one priced around 30-1. He also sits second in GIR rate, especially important when the field is hovering around 60 percent in Palm Beach Gardens. Powers, Golf Digest: Matt Kuchar (30-1, DraftKings) Really nice finish last week for Kuch, but lets pump the brakes here. But hey, if youre here, youre a diehard sicko golf fan like us, and you can still find the beauty in a week like this one. Of course, DFS golf is more popular than ever, which means its more competitive than ever, too. Here are the stats you should be paying attention to. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. Odds and lines subject to change. Five of the top seven golfers in the Official World Golf Ranking are scheduled to compete, led by world No. Who wins the 2023 Genesis Invitational? Rick Gehman is the founder of RickRunGood.com and the RickRunGood YouTube Channel, is one of the industrys leading experts on golf DFS and gambling. Gdula: Brandon Wu (95-1, FanDuel) Wu is pretty accurate with the driver and tends to gain strokes off-the-tee. For 2020, he ranked eighth in strokes gained/off the tee, one spot behind Bubba Watson and one spot ahead of Xander Schauffele. In fact, his last three tournaments in the states were on the Korn ferry Tour where he missed two cuts and didnt finish in the top 25 in the other. I dont bring this up to dub Henley the next JT but rather to magnify how good Henley has been over a large sample. And last week, bargain pick Matt Kuchar ($7,900) posted a top-10 finish and two more picks were in the top 15. Scroll down to see who we like this week at the 2023 Honda Classic. Sony Open: Matt Kuchar. Hes made five of his last six cuts and can boast two top 40s in the last two elevated events. . Caddie: Lee Hodges (+450, DraftKings) Lee is coming off a great performance at Riviera and like I mentioned earlier, these two courses are very similar in the ball-striking department. From Gdula: Henley has been the best iron player on the PGA Tour over the past 50 rounds, via FantasyNational.com. In his 50 most recent rounds, hes gained strokes in 72 percent of them with his irons and 76 percent from his ball-striking. In-Tournament PGA Model - Round 2 Picks for The Honda Classic (Premium Content) Final DraftKings Picks PGA DFS Lineups - The Honda Classic Invitational Daily Fantasy Golf Advice (Premium Content . Dustin Johnson has hit 127 total drives over 300 yards at Pebble Beach Golf Links during this event. THE MATERIAL ON THIS SITE MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED, DISTRIBUTED, TRANSMITTED, CACHED OR OTHERWISE USED, EXCEPT WITH THE PRIOR WRITTEN PERMISSION OF DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. 2023 DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. Combine that with Sean O'Hair and Fritelli being extremely inconsistent, this is my whale play of the week. WMPO: Scottie Scheffler. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Kevin Streelman (+900, Bet365) The off-the-tee and approach numbers are top 15 in this field over the past 24 rounds, per Fantasy National, so Streelman should give. His tee-to-green game has been elite and he supplements that with a stellar short-game. Not only did he top 10 here a year ago, this years field has lost some of its star power compared to recent years, so look for Lee to be in the mix on Sunday. Theres a reason he can be in play for a first-round leader, for FanDuel value, top-10s and even outrights, particularly on Bermuda courses. In addition, McClure's model is up over $9,500 on its best bets since June 2020, nailing tournament after tournament. We missed out on him last year while he was figuring out his game on the Korn Ferry Tour, but now hes back and hes having himself a nice little year, starting with a top-five finish back in the Fall at the Fortinet and adding a pair of top-17 finishes in 11 starts since. AT&T Pebble Beach: Maverick McNealy. "He has a lot of ground to make up," Holliman said, "but he is the most well-rounded player in this field, so if anyone can do it, he can." Poston. Gehman: Aaron Wise (22-1, DraftKings) Ive probably spent more money on Aaron Wise than anyone on the planet and not even I can get there this week. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Chris Kirk (+330, DraftKings) The former Georgia Bulldog drives it so dang straight, which is an absolute weapon at PGA National. In the measured events on the circuit, hes been stout from tee-to-green and hasnt lost strokes putting since last summer. Aside from the experts below, Fantasy Insider Rob Bolton breaks down the field at this year's The American Express in this week's edition of the. Gehman: Joseph Bramlett (50-1, DraftKings) Bramlett enters the week having made seven straight cuts and earning a T-13 in La Jolla and T-7 in Pebble Beach over his last two. Scottie Scheffler could be among the top daily Fantasy golf picks this week for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Hes a name to watch. Pat Mayo and Geoff Fienberg preview the course and run through the odds while making their 2023 Pebble Beach Picks.
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